Aaon Inc Stock Performance

AAON Stock  USD 95.24  1.87  2.00%   
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 1.8, which signifies a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, AAON will likely underperform. At this point, AAON Inc has a negative expected return of -0.0395%. Please make sure to confirm AAON's potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and relative strength index , to decide if AAON Inc performance from the past will be repeated in the future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Weakest

 
Weak
 
Strong
Over the last 90 days AAON Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, AAON is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
2
Five Day Return
2.41
Year To Date Return
20.27
Ten Year Return
607.05
All Time Return
142.9 K
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0043
Payout Ratio
0.4167
Last Split Factor
3:2
Forward Dividend Rate
0.4
Dividend Date
2025-12-18
1
Disposition of 71916 shares by Norman Asbjornson of AAON subject to Rule 16b-3
11/14/2025
2
Acquisition by Stephen Wakefield of 1000 shares of AAON at 82.25 subject to Rule 16b-3
12/11/2025
3
AAON Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends
12/15/2025
 
AAON dividend paid on 18th of December 2025
12/18/2025
4
AAON stock slips even after credit line boost to 600 million what Wall Street is watching next - ts2.tech
12/31/2025
5
Do Options Traders Know Something About AAON Stock We Dont
01/02/2026
6
How AAONs Expanded US600 Million Credit Facility Will Impact AAON Investors
01/05/2026
7
Aug Final Week How AAON stock reacts to bond yields - 2025 Historical Comparison Real-Time Volume Trigger Notifications - moha.gov.vn
01/09/2026
8
Is AAONs Expanded Credit Line a Subtle Shift in Its Growth Playbook
01/12/2026
9
Understanding the Setup and Scalable Risk - Stock Traders Daily
01/20/2026
10
Disposition of tradable shares by Matthew Shaub of AAON at 82. subject to Rule 16b-3
01/21/2026
11
Retirement Systems of Alabama Increases Stake in AAON, Inc. AAON - MarketBeat
01/27/2026
12
Disposition of 62802 shares by Tobolski Matthew Joseph of AAON subject to Rule 16b-3
01/30/2026
13
Should AAONs New Leadership and Credit Expansion Ahead of Earnings Require Action From Investors
02/02/2026
14
Teslas Daring Move
02/04/2026
Begin Period Cash FlowM
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities-213.1 M

AAON Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  9,992  in AAON Inc on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (468.00) from holding AAON Inc or give up 4.68% of portfolio value over 90 days. AAON Inc is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.8072% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 25% of stocks are less volatile than AAON, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days AAON is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 3.76 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.01 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of volatility.

AAON Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of AAON Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 95.24 90 days 95.24 
about 20.12
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AAON to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 20.12 (This AAON Inc probability density function shows the probability of AAON Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.8 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AAON will likely underperform. Additionally AAON Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   AAON Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AAON

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AAON Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
92.4395.2498.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
88.6891.49104.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.6285.4388.24
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
104.88115.25127.93
Details

AAON Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AAON is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AAON's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AAON Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AAON within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.80
σ
Overall volatility
8.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

AAON Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AAON for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AAON Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AAON Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 18th of December 2025 AAON paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from fool.com: Teslas Daring Move

AAON Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AAON Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AAON's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AAON's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding83.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments14 K

AAON Fundamentals Growth

AAON Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of AAON, and AAON fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on AAON Stock performance.

About AAON Performance

By examining AAON's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into AAON's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that AAON is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 76.62  52.62 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.15  0.11 
Return On Capital Employed 0.24  0.32 
Return On Assets 0.13  0.11 
Return On Equity 0.24  0.26 

Things to note about AAON Inc performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about AAON for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for AAON Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AAON Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Over 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 18th of December 2025 AAON paid $ 0.1 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from fool.com: Teslas Daring Move
Evaluating AAON's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate AAON's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing AAON's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether AAON's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining AAON's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating AAON's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of AAON's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of AAON's stock. These opinions can provide insight into AAON's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating AAON's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact AAON's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether AAON Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AAON's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Aaon Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Aaon Inc Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in AAON Inc. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Will Building Products sector continue expanding? Could AAON diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AAON. If investors know AAON will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every AAON data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.69)
Dividend Share
0.38
Earnings Share
1.24
Revenue Per Share
16.142
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.168
Investors evaluate AAON Inc using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating AAON's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause AAON's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that AAON's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AAON represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, AAON's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.